Forecast & historical wind data

14-day forecast · Kiryat Yam

Expected wind at Kiryat Yam

Strongest in the next 7 days: Wed 7 18:00 · 10 kt (likely 7–13) · gusts 17 kt · N

ikite's estimate: each model is corrected by its own track record at this spot, then weighted by how reliable it has been. Recalculated every morning after new forecasts arrive. On past days here, the real wind landed inside the shaded range 69% of the time.

Fri 2

Daily forecast

Kiryat Yam

Time KY (real) KH (real) IMS Haifa Refineries IMS Afeq aifs ukmo gdps gfs icon13 icon_eu ifs
06:00 4-13 5-14 0-4 7-7 6-10 5-7 5-6 4-8 3-7 5-10
07:00 4-13 5-17 4-13 7-7 6-11 6-7 6-7 5-9 4-8 7-13
08:00 4-18 2-8 8-16 8-14 8-8 7-12 6-8 7-9 5-10 4-9 7-13
09:00 4-17 0-9 8-17 9-15 8-8 7-13 7-11 9-11 7-12 6-13 8-15
10:00 4-16 0-12 8-19 6-16 8-8 6-12 8-13 11-12 10-16 9-16 8-16
11:00 5-19 1-12 14-20 7-14 8-8 7-14 9-13 13-13 12-19 11-21 10-18
12:00 8-20 8-16 9-9 9-18 9-14 14-13 11-20 10-21 10-19
13:00 9-9 10-19 9-13 14-14 11-21 10-21 12-21
14:00 10-10 10-20 9-13 12-14 11-21 10-21 10-20
15:00 10-10 11-20 9-13 11-13 11-20 11-23 8-18
16:00 10-10 10-19 8-12 12-14 10-20 10-21 7-15
17:00 8-8 9-16 7-10 11-13 9-19 8-19 3-9
18:00 7-7 7-12 5-8 8-9 7-17 7-16 5-10
19:00 5-5 5-10 3-5 3-4 6-15 4-13 3-6
20:00 4-4 4-8 2-4 2-2 2-12 1-9 3-6

Model accuracy at Kiryat Yam

Same-day forecasts vs this spot's meter · 30 days · 09:00–18:00

Model Wind error Wind bias Gust vs real peak Gust factor Hours
ikite estimate best wind ±2.1 +0.8 +1.5 1.83× 257
ifs ±2.5 +1.5 +3.0 2.00× 277
gdps ±2.6 +1.4 -3.0 1.26× 277
aifs ±2.7 +1.4 -5.0 1.00× 277
ukmo ±2.8 +1.5 +2.5 1.98× 277
icon_eu ±3.8 +3.0 +6.2 2.00× 132
icon13 ±3.9 +3.2 +3.9 1.77× 277
gfs ±4.1 +3.8 -3.2 0.94× 277

Real gusts here peak at 1.83× the wind. A model whose gust factor is well above that has gusts that run hot. Forecasts several days out are less accurate than these same-day scores.