Forecast & historical wind data

14-day forecast · Zandvoort

Expected wind at Zandvoort

Strongest in the next 7 days: Thu 8 17:00 · 14 kt (likely 7–21) · gusts 22 kt · NNW

ikite's estimate: each model is corrected by its own track record at this spot, then weighted by how reliable it has been. Recalculated every morning after new forecasts arrive.

Fri 2

Daily forecast

Zandvoort

Time Zandvoort (real) gdps gfs harmonie icon13 icon7 ifs wrf9
06:00 6-7 6-6 5-7 4-6 4-7 6-9 6-5
07:00 6-6 6-7 5-7 4-7 4-7 6-9 6-7
08:00 5-8 5-6 7-7 6-9 5-8 4-7 6-10 6-7
09:00 5-8 6-6 7-8 6-9 5-9 5-9 8-11 6-8
10:00 6-8 7-9 6-9 6-10 5-9 7-10 6-9
11:00 7-10 8-10 6-9 6-11 6-11 7-10 6-10
12:00 9-12 8-10 7-11 7-11 6-11 7-11 8-11
13:00 10-11 9-10 8-12 7-13 7-13 9-13 8-10
14:00 9-10 9-9 8-12 8-13 7-13 8-12 9-10
15:00 8-9 8-8 7-12 7-13 7-13 7-11 8-8
16:00 7-8 7-7 6-11 6-12 6-13 6-9 7-7
17:00 6-7 6-7 6-10 5-10 5-11 6-9 6-5
18:00 5-6 5-6 6-9 4-8 4-9 6-8 5-5
19:00 4-5 5-6 6-9 3-7 3-7 6-8 4-4
20:00 4-5 5-6 6-8 2-5 2-5 5-7 4-4

Model accuracy at Zandvoort

Same-day forecasts vs this spot's meter · 14 days · 09:00–18:00

Model Wind error Wind bias Gust vs real peak Gust factor Hours
icon13 best wind ±2.9 +1.6 +0.6 1.74× 39
icon7 ±2.9 +1.2 +1.0 1.87× 39
harmonie ±3.5 +3.1 +0.8 1.53× 39
ifs ±3.6 +3.5 +0.6 1.46× 39
wrf9 ±3.7 +3.5 -1.2 1.27× 39
gdps ±4.1 +3.9 -0.2 1.31× 39
gfs ±4.2 +4.0 -1.0 1.28× 39

Real gusts here peak at 1.74× the wind. A model whose gust factor is well above that has gusts that run hot. Forecasts several days out are less accurate than these same-day scores.